The new political course begins in Mexico and does so in a big way: to the integration of legislative chambers prepared for anger is added the first day of the brand new Judicial Power, renewed from a stroke in the June election and that premieres, with its expectations and bad omen, this Monday. From above, President Claudia Sheinbaum, who also gives folder and presents the report of her first year of government. The most voted president in the recent history of Mexico goes up as a step supervising the chips inside and outside its borders. Sheinbaum will have to fight an ambitious electoral reform, the currency in the air of the new ministers and magistrates, the unity of the party, the real and metaphorical flames that the Sinaloa cartel can unleash, and the uncertain Trumpist cane. Next to nothing.
Summer has not served to rest in Mexican politics. On Wednesday, the closing of the Permanent Commission of Congress left an advance of the months that are coming. The PRI leader hit the president of the Senate; The first ended up denounced in the Prosecutor’s Office and the last comparing without shame with a raped woman. Alito Moreno, convinced that he lives a persecution even if it is he who has given the woods, has requested help to the exceeding mechanism of protection and has warned that the fight begins. Meanwhile, the morenistas have deposited part of their hopes in Laura Itzel Castillo, who from her position as the new president of the Senate, will face the waves since Monday.
He will have an important role, because in the cameras Sheinbaum awaits one of his main challenges: the approval of the coveted electoral reform. It is not yet defined, but the first sketches of the law – which is in the sight of the multinominal deputies and the reduction of the budget of the parties – have already put on guard not only the opposition, but to the allied formations of Morena. Green and PT play a lot with a change of rules. “There may be opposition to these small parties. But they will have a dilemma, because they know that their current position, comfortable, owes it entirely to Morena,” says Héctor Quintanar, a political scientist of the UNAM and one of the founders of the party: “Unlike the electoral reform of 2007, when the allies of Obradorism were very vocal, I do not think that now they have the same opposition force.
For this surgical conciliation operation, Sheinbaum depends on its two bishops: Ricardo Monreal’s free verse and a questioned Adam Augusto López. The first, which is still stirred against the presidential instruction not to put relatives in the 2027 election, has come to question that the electoral reform is necessary now and has also publicly recognized that there is an “internal crisis” in Morena. Adam Augustus, on the other hand, is still under profile, licking the wounds of the outbreak that caused his Secretary of Security when he was governor of Tabasco, Hernán Bermúdez, was the leader of the Barredora poster and is a fugitive from justice. “This political problem has caused the senators coordinator to remain in his position, but his negotiation capacity is diminished with an opposition that will constantly remember his faults. He will no longer look like he did before,” Jaime, a professor of political studies at the University of Guadalajara: And now he has begun to win in some places alone.
The bad governance in Congress will thus be one of the first fronts of the president. “Although Morena has the majority, it is not convenient to have an opposition using shock tactics, as does Senator Lily Téllez, who are committed to blocking or making decisions slower,” says political analyst Fernando Dworak: “On September 8 comes the presentation of the 2026 economic package, it does not require a qualified majority, but an opposition that bets to delay the sessions, can make the situation a lot.”
The owner of the Judiciary
In his first year, Sheinbaum got to the mud to fulfill the commission of his mentor and predecessor, Andrés Manuel López Obrador, of carrying out the radical judicial reform, and in his second, he will have to deal with the consequences. The president has spun her destiny to the new ministers, magistrates and judges who will occupy the main courts of the country. The judges left the accordions created by Morena to direct the vote and practically all the members of the SCJN, the Court of Discipline and the Electoral were candidates who came from the committee formed by the president.
Sheinbaum repeats as a mantra that the renewal of the Judiciary is a success because it was chosen by the people, but doubts about its effects have appeared even within Morena. “It is a commitment. The Judiciary in Mexico is today before an unexplored path,” says Héctor Quintanar, who is confident that the citizen vote will endorse those who do it well and punish those who are not. While resolving, the president is thinking about investors, Jaime Arithmetic points out: “She is going to put a hand to reduce the uncertainty generated by the new judges. Until her legislative efforts go there, under the idea that, although new characters enter, the laws will guarantee the rules.”
In spite of the entire internal revoltijo, there are many who believe that Sheinbaum’s main challenge is the one that comes from abroad. “Its main adversary is outside the borders: the volatile government of Donald Trump. A permanent threat looms over Mexico when someone like him governs,” says Quintanar, who considers that the president has faced him cautiously, “without conflicting, but without granting.” This is also valued by the political scientist Jaime, who believes that unlike other leaders, “Sheinbaum has not been flattering and has achieved exchanges without being seen as someone who recognizes Trump’s way of governing.”
On the other side of the Bravo River, Ishmael’s statements also May Zambada, the old Sinaloa poster capo that has just agreed with the United States Prosecutor’s Office. His words are notice and threat: “The organization that I headed encouraged corruption in my country by paying police, military and political commanders that allowed us to operate freely.” Sheinbaum has already delivered 55 drug traffickers to Trump’s government, but the Republican finger points to the Mexican political class. As an advance and form of containment, the president’s cabinet remains to reduce the rampant violence of the country. At the moment, they have made the 87 victims of daily homicide have passed to 65, since last September, 25% less.
However, in these efforts the usual are still left behind. A total of 1,670 women were killed in the country from January to July, according to the figures of the Executive Secretariat of the National Public Security System. More than 12,200 were raped, that is, 53 a day, more than two every hour; Another 300 were victims of trafficking. “We have not yet heard of the issue of violence against women to the Secretary of Security, Omar García Harfuch,” says lawyer Patricia Olamendi, who claims a security program against this violence. “In Mexico we already have very advanced legislation, but it looks cloud in front of inaction,” says the member of all Mexico and women in the plural.
In the country, until 2021 the total parity in all powers and organs was not mandatory. Since then, the jump has been brutal, until reaching the first woman president of Mexico. That springboard generated “high expectations,” says Olamendi, which has not yet been fulfilled. “What is happening now? That nothing has happened. We do not have a budget for the care system so far. Inequality has to reduce. A woman who arrives at the presidency has to focus on her policy in eliminating inequality and violence,” reflects the lawyer: “Five years are missing, many things can still be done. We are still waiting for an answer.”
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